Myrto Kasioumi (QSMS) will present “The Environmental Kuznets Curve Projections under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways: A study of future trajectories” on December 6th, 2024, at 10:30 AM, in room QA406.
Abstract:
The relationship between economic growth and environmental quality, specifically air pollution, has been extensively studied. However, the future dynamics of this relationship are yet to be explored. Economies can evolve in various ways in the future, due to factors such as technological advancement, population growth, education level, and production priorities. With these factors in mind, societies may focus on environmental sustainability, or on the contrary, continue relying on fossil fuels. In addition, future climate change can differ significantly based on human activities, resulting in different global warming scenarios. These future trajectories are described by the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) and Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), which outline scenarios for socioeconomic and climate conditions in the future, respectively. This study examines the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis within the framework of SSP and RCP scenarios using data from 193 countries over a 120-year period (1980–2100). The research conducted aims to help policymakers identify how different future socioeconomic scenarios and human activities can influence the relationship between growth and environmental sustainability, guiding strategies to achieve both goals simultaneously.